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Crew Signal · Mediation Review

Horizon / AFA Mediation Full-Year Review

Coverage: Calendar Year 2025

Parties: United Airlines & AFA-CWA (Flight Attendants) Framework: Railway Labor Act · NMB Mediation NMB Docket: A-14065 · Mediator: Michael Kelliher

Key Takeaways (2025)

Background & Context

United Flight Attendants, represented by the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA (AFA), filed for federal mediation with the National Mediation Board (NMB) in 2023 after several years of stagnant pay and mounting frustration over scheduling, hotels, and quality-of-life issues. Under the Railway Labor Act (RLA), mediation is a formal but non-binding process—any agreement must still be voluntarily reached by the parties and ratified by the membership.

By late 2024, the dispute was docketed at the NMB and a mediator assigned. Through 2024 and into early 2025, AFA relied on a mix of mediated sessions, direct bargaining, “from the table” updates, and system-wide mobilization to push toward an agreement that could gain majority support across a large and diverse Flight Attendant group.

Phase 1 – Mediation Builds Toward a Tentative Agreement (Jan–May 2025)

In early 2025, mediation and direct bargaining intensified. AFA’s public communications emphasized several core goals:

On May 23, 2025, AFA and United announced a Tentative Agreement covering roughly 28,000 United Flight Attendants. Public statements from both AFA and United characterized the deal as “industry-leading” on pay, with meaningful retroactive compensation and new boarding pay provisions. Aviation and business media framed the TA as aiming to bring United cabin crew broadly in line with major-industry peers on headline economics.

Phase 2 – Ratification Campaign and Member Concerns (May–July 2025)

Following the announcement of the TA, AFA launched an intensive ratification campaign, including roadshows, virtual meetings, FAQs and detailed summaries. These materials highlighted wage increases, boarding pay, the retro pay structure, scheduling provisions, hotel language, and proposed changes to benefits and retirement.

Member feedback, however, revealed significant concern in several areas:

Voting on the TA ran through July and was supported by substantial communications from both the union and the company, as well as significant discussion and analysis from industry observers.

Phase 3 – TA Rejected, Mediation Re-Centers the Dispute (Late July–August 2025)

On July 29, 2025, United Flight Attendants voted to reject the Tentative Agreement. Turnout was exceptionally high, and a strong majority voted “No,” sending a clear message to the Master Executive Council (MEC) and negotiating committee.

AFA framed the result as democracy in action and emphasized that, while the TA delivered meaningful economic gains, members were unconvinced that the package fully met their expectations for pay, scheduling, and quality-of-life improvements.

By early August, the United MEC outlined a plan to return to the bargaining table with United management, supported by the NMB mediator. Rather than immediately seeking release from mediation, the union signaled its intent to continue working within the RLA framework to secure a revised agreement that could be ratified.

Phase 4 – Reset with the Mediator and New Dates (September–October 2025)

In September, AFA and United met with the federal mediator to plan next steps after the TA’s rejection. Subsequent union updates reported that new mediation and bargaining dates had been secured and adjusted as the parties sought to maintain momentum.

Through this period, AFA and outside commentators continued to stress that United Flight Attendants remained behind important comparators on total compensation and that members expected an agreement that combined pay, boarding pay, and improved work rules.

Phase 5 – Targeted Proposals for a Revised TA (TA2) (Oct–Nov 2025)

In late October 2025, AFA’s negotiating committee met with United management to begin structured work on a revised Tentative Agreement (“TA2”). Union updates described this phase as the start of a targeted, problem-solving effort aimed at fixing the issues that drove the “No” vote while preserving core economic gains from the original TA.

AFA described a focused package of proposals that included:

By year-end, additional bargaining and/or mediation dates were scheduled into late 2025 and early 2026, providing an observable cadence for continued talks under NMB oversight.

Status at Year-End 2025

By the close of 2025, the United / AFA dispute remained firmly within the Railway Labor Act mediation framework:

Outlook & Framework for Weekly Updates

This 2025 review establishes the baseline for Crew Signal’s ongoing coverage of United / AFA mediation. Weekly updates will track:

The core question entering 2026 is whether targeted adjustments within an existing economic framework can produce a TA2 that members will ratify, or whether the dispute will deepen into more intensive mediation and potential discussion of release.

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